Are the climate models running hot?

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The Gordian Knot Group is not in the climate modelling business. But we are supposed to be solving the Gordian Knot, half of which is global warming. It behooves us to understand the latter. This paper investigates how well the climate models have done in replicating planet heating to date.
Based on that performance, the average of the model temperature projections in any given emissions scenarios is probably 40% too high.

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