Paper

Are the climate models running hot?

The Gordian Knot Group is not in the climate modelling business. But we are supposed to be solving the Gordian Knot, half of which is global warming. It behooves us to understand the latter. This paper investigates how well the climate models have done in replicating planet heating to date. Based on that performance, the average of the model temperature projections in any given emissions scenarios is probably 40% too high.

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SNT and Internal Radiation

Sigmoid No Threshold (SNT) or any model of radiation harm that recognizes the importance of our repair systems and the fact that those systems can be overwhelmed if the dose rate is high enough cannot use the ICRP/NCRP procedure for estimating the harm due to ingesting radioactive material. The ICRP simply accumulates the dose over the entire time that an isotope is in the body, which usually is many repair periods. Dose rate is irrelevant. This paper uses SNT to estimate the harm associated with ingesting contaminated food after a release. It gets pretty deep into the weeds. The paper

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A Plan That Adds Up. An Engineer Looks at Global Warming, part 3.

In Part 1, we found we probably have the better part of a century to react to global warming. In Part 2, we discovered the enormity of attempting to replace fossil fuel. If we screw this up, we could kill billions and rip civilization to shreads in the process. We also found that the current plan based on wind and solar has been and will continue to be a massive failure. So what should we do? This paper argues that the answer is nuclear power. But it must be truly cheap nuclear. Expensive nuclear is no where good enough. Thanks

A Plan That Adds Up. An Engineer Looks at Global Warming, part 3. Read More »

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