Are the climate models running hot?

The Gordian Knot Group is not in the climate modelling business. But we are supposed to be solving the Gordian Knot, half of which is global warming. It behooves us to understand the latter. This paper investigates how well the climate models have done in replicating planet heating to date. Based on that performance, the average of the model temperature projections in any given emissions scenarios is probably 60% too high.

Nuclear and Wind/Solar

Despite what many nukies try to claim. nuclear power and wind/solar do not play nice together. This piece explains why. But for more importantly, it makes the point that, unless nuclear power is truly cheap, as cheap as it can be, it will make a dent in neither energy poverty nor global warming.

SNT and Internal Radiation

Sigmoid No Threshold (SNT) or any model of radiation harm that recognizes the importance of our repair systems and the fact that those systems can be overwhelmed if the dose rate is high enough cannot use the ICRP/NCRP procedure for estimating the harm due to ingesting radioactive material. The ICRP simply accumulates the dose over the entire time that an isotope is in the body, which usually is many repair periods. Dose rate is irrelevant. This paper uses SNT to estimate the harm associated with ingesting contaminated food after a release. It gets pretty deep into the weeds. The paper …

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Compensating Radiation Harm

Underwriter Certification, our proposed system for regulating nuclear power, requires a firm, automatic procedure for compensating people who have been harmed by a release of radioactive material. If humanity is to enjoy the benefits of nuclear power, it is essential that this system be reasonably realistic. It must be at least qualitatively correct, reflecting the essentials of what happens when radioactive particles interact with a human. The system must be well enough defined that underwriters can reliably estimate their loss associated with a given release. This paper attempts to come up with such a system.

Nuclear Waste: A Tale of Two Particles

For practical purposes, used nuclear fuel remains radioactive forever. However, the penetrating form of radiation is essentially gone in about 500 years. After that, the used fuel must be swallowed to be harmful. But that would require eating rocks. Bacon is probably more dangerous than aged nuclear fuel. You are much more likely to swallow that carcinogen.

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